Arsenal – Chelsea
Premier League · March 1, 2026
Arsenal
2–1
Chelsea
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arsenal 57%
X · 25%
2 · Chelsea 18%
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 1.75 – 0.89 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 27, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.