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Arsenal – Crystal Palace

Premier League · April 23, 2025

Arsenal 2–2 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arsenal 61% X · 23% 2 · Crystal Palace 16%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.76 – 0.77
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.