Arsenal – Man City
Premier League · February 2, 2025
Arsenal
5–1
Man City
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arsenal 39%
X · 27%
2 · Man City 34%
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.25 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 1, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.