Arsenal – Man City
Premier League · September 21, 2025
Arsenal
1–1
Man City
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arsenal 41%
X · 28%
2 · Man City 31%
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.08 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 20, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.