Arsenal – Man United
Premier League · January 25, 2026
Arsenal
2–3
Man United
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arsenal 61%
X · 24%
2 · Man United 15%
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Expected goals | 1.83 – 0.79 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 24, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.