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Arsenal – Newcastle

Premier League · May 18, 2025

Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arsenal 57% X · 23% 2 · Newcastle 20%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.83 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.