Arsenal – Newcastle
Premier League · April 25, 2026
Arsenal
1–0
Newcastle
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arsenal 61%
X · 24%
2 · Newcastle 15%
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 1.93 – 0.86 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 25, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.