Certor

Arsenal – Nott'm Forest

Premier League · November 23, 2024

Arsenal 3–0 Nott'm Forest

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arsenal 68% X · 20% 2 · Nott'm Forest 12%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals2.03 – 0.72
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 23, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.