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Arsenal – Southampton

Premier League · October 5, 2024

Arsenal 3–1 Southampton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arsenal 81% X · 13% 2 · Southampton 6%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals2.63 – 0.59
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 5, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.