Certor

Arsenal – Sunderland

Premier League · February 7, 2026

Arsenal 3–0 Sunderland

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arsenal 64% X · 25% 2 · Sunderland 11%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score35%
Expected goals1.67 – 0.55
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.