Aston Villa – Arsenal
Premier League · December 6, 2025
Aston Villa
2–1
Arsenal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 22%
X · 27%
2 · Arsenal 51%
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 0.87 – 1.48 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 6, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.