Aston Villa – Arsenal
Premier League · August 31, 2026
Aston Villa
0–1
Arsenal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 20%
X · 28%
2 · Arsenal 52%
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 0.89 – 1.56 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 31, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.