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Aston Villa – Bournemouth

Premier League · April 21, 2024

Aston Villa 3–1 Bournemouth

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 59% X · 21% 2 · Bournemouth 20%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals2.08 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 20, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.