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Aston Villa – Brentford

Premier League · April 6, 2024

Aston Villa 3–3 Brentford

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 53% X · 23% 2 · Brentford 24%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.91 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 6, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.