Aston Villa – Burnley
Premier League · December 30, 2023
Aston Villa
3–2
Burnley
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 68%
X · 19%
2 · Burnley 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 2.06 – 0.77 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 30, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.