Aston Villa – Crystal Palace
Premier League · September 16, 2023
Aston Villa
3–1
Crystal Palace
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 46%
X · 26%
2 · Crystal Palace 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 0.97 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 16, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.