Aston Villa – Everton
Premier League · August 20, 2023
Aston Villa
4–0
Everton
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 52%
X · 25%
2 · Everton 23%
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 1.57 – 0.95 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 18, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.