Aston Villa – Leeds
Premier League · February 21, 2026
Aston Villa
1–1
Leeds
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 50%
X · 26%
2 · Leeds 24%
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Expected goals | 1.77 – 1.17 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 18, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.