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Aston Villa – Liverpool

Premier League · May 13, 2024

Aston Villa 3–3 Liverpool

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 29% X · 23% 2 · Liverpool 48%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.36 – 1.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 11, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.