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Aston Villa – Liverpool

Premier League · February 19, 2025

Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 21% X · 22% 2 · Liverpool 57%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.16 – 2.04
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.