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Aston Villa – Man City

Premier League · December 6, 2023

Aston Villa 1–0 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 21% X · 21% 2 · Man City 58%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.01 – 1.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.