Aston Villa – Man City
Premier League · December 6, 2023
Aston Villa
1–0
Man City
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 21%
X · 21%
2 · Man City 58%
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 1.87 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 2, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.