Aston Villa – Man City
Premier League · October 26, 2025
Aston Villa
1–0
Man City
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 22%
X · 25%
2 · Man City 53%
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Expected goals | 0.98 – 1.67 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 25, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.