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Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest

Premier League · April 5, 2025

Aston Villa 2–1 Nott'm Forest

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 41% X · 25% 2 · Nott'm Forest 34%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.32
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.