Certor

Aston Villa – Sheffield United

Premier League · December 22, 2023

Aston Villa 1–1 Sheffield United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 82% X · 12% 2 · Sheffield United 6%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals2.72 – 0.59
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.