Aston Villa – Southampton
Premier League · December 7, 2024
Aston Villa
1–0
Southampton
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Aston Villa 65%
X · 20%
2 · Southampton 15%
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Expected goals | 2.16 – 0.93 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 7, 2024.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.