Certor

Aston Villa – West Ham

Premier League · January 26, 2025

Aston Villa 1–1 West Ham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 55% X · 23% 2 · West Ham 22%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.98 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 25, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.