Certor

Aston Villa – West Ham

Premier League · March 22, 2026

Aston Villa 2–0 West Ham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 56% X · 24% 2 · West Ham 20%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.91 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.