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Aston Villa – Wolves

Premier League · November 30, 2025

Aston Villa 1–0 Wolves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Aston Villa 58% X · 23% 2 · Wolves 19%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.82 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.