Certor

Atalanta – Bologna

Serie A · March 3, 2024

Atalanta 1–2 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 59% X · 22% 2 · Bologna 19%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.00 – 1.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 2, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.