Certor

Atalanta – Cagliari

Serie A · September 24, 2023

Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 69% X · 19% 2 · Cagliari 12%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.25 – 0.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.