Certor

Atalanta – Cagliari

Serie A · September 12, 2026

Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 62% X · 22% 2 · Cagliari 16%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.92 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 12, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.