Certor

Atalanta – Fiorentina

Serie A · September 15, 2024

Atalanta 3–2 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 49% X · 25% 2 · Fiorentina 26%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.74 – 1.21
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.