Certor

Atalanta – Frosinone

Serie A · January 15, 2024

Atalanta 5–0 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 70% X · 18% 2 · Frosinone 12%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.34 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.