Certor

Atalanta – Frosinone

Serie A · October 25, 2026

Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 59% X · 21% 2 · Frosinone 20%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals2.18 – 1.23
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 25, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.