Certor

Atalanta – Genoa

Serie A · October 22, 2023

Atalanta 2–0 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 67% X · 20% 2 · Genoa 13%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals2.12 – 0.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 21, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.