Certor

Atalanta – Genoa

Serie A · October 5, 2024

Atalanta 5–1 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 64% X · 22% 2 · Genoa 14%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals2.03 – 0.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 5, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.