Certor

Atalanta – Lazio

Serie A · October 19, 2025

Atalanta 0–0 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 46% X · 25% 2 · Lazio 29%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.70 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.