Certor

Atalanta – Milan

Serie A · October 28, 2025

Atalanta 1–1 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 42% X · 26% 2 · Milan 32%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.63 – 1.42
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 25, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.