Certor

Atalanta – Monza

Serie A · September 2, 2023

Atalanta 3–0 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 58% X · 24% 2 · Monza 18%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.84 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.