Certor

Atalanta – Monza

Serie A · October 30, 2024

Atalanta 2–0 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 64% X · 22% 2 · Monza 14%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals2.02 – 0.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.