Atalanta – Napoli
Serie A · February 22, 2026
Atalanta
2–1
Napoli
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Atalanta 33%
X · 28%
2 · Napoli 39%
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 1.37 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 21, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.