Certor

Atalanta – Pisa

Serie A · August 24, 2025

Atalanta 1–1 Pisa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 68% X · 19% 2 · Pisa 13%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.33 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.