Atalanta – Roma
Serie A · January 3, 2026
Atalanta
1–0
Roma
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Atalanta 43%
X · 26%
2 · Roma 31%
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 1.25 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.