Certor

Atalanta – Salernitana

Serie A · December 18, 2023

Atalanta 4–1 Salernitana

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 74% X · 17% 2 · Salernitana 9%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals2.44 – 0.76
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.