Certor

Atalanta – Sassuolo

Serie A · November 9, 2025

Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 61% X · 21% 2 · Sassuolo 18%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals2.19 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.