Certor

Atalanta – Sassuolo

Serie A · August 23, 2026

Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Atalanta 61% X · 21% 2 · Sassuolo 18%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals2.11 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.