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Ath Bilbao – Barcelona

La Liga · March 7, 2026

Ath Bilbao 0–1 Barcelona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Bilbao 26% X · 24% 2 · Barcelona 50%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.16 – 1.69
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.