Certor

Ath Bilbao – Sociedad

La Liga · January 13, 2024

Ath Bilbao 2–1 Sociedad

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Bilbao 44% X · 30% 2 · Sociedad 26%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 12, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.