Certor

Ath Bilbao – Vallecano

La Liga · April 13, 2025

Ath Bilbao 3–1 Vallecano

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Bilbao 55% X · 26% 2 · Vallecano 19%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.53 – 0.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.