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Ath Bilbao – Villarreal

La Liga · April 14, 2024

Ath Bilbao 1–1 Villarreal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ath Bilbao 50% X · 26% 2 · Villarreal 24%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.62 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 12, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.